Archive of Writings

(A work in progress)

BooKS

Unmanned: Drones, Data and the Illusion of Perfect Warfare (forthcoming July 28, 2015)

American Coup:  How a Terrified Government is Destroying the Constitution (2013).

Top Secret America: The Rise of the New American Security State (with Dana Priest) (2011)

Divining Victory: Airpower In The 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War (2007)

Code Names: Deciphering U.S. Military Plans, Programs and Operations in the 9/11 World (2005)

Operation Iraqi Freedom: 22 Historic Days in Words and Pictures (2003)

Nuclear Battlefields: Global Links in the Arms Race

S.I.O.P.: The Secret U.S. Plan for Nuclear War (with Peter Pringle)

U.S. Military Online (2nd Ed., 1998) (Also available online from the National Security Archive (1998)

Research Guide to Current Military and Strategic Affairs

Special Projects

Top Secret America: The 2010 series and online web presentation done at The Washington Post.

Military Analyst William M. Arkin on U.S. Airstrikes Against Iraq (Operation Desert Fox), Transcript of live Web discussion, washingtonpost.com, 23 December 1998.

Fog of War:  A 1998 online project I worked on at WashingtonPost.com describing Operation Desert Storm, the first Gulf War.

Early Warning: An archive of some of my old online columns at The Washington Post (until 2008).

Articles

2015

The Army Is Developing Killer Robots,” Phase Zero, 8 May 2015.

Cancel Your Summer Vacation Plans to Afghanistan,” Phase Zero, 7 May 2015.

We Don’t Know Jack About Joe – and for Good Reason,” Phase Zero, 6 May 2015.

Targeted Killing is Just Good Business,” Phase Zero, 5 May 2015.

Behold the Stupidest Government Report Ever,” Phase Zero, 4 May 2015.

Why Is Jordan so Eager to Suck up to the Pentagon?,” Phase Zero, 2 May 2015.

The Secret Mountain Our Spies Will Hide In When Washington Is Destroyed,” Phase Zero, 1 May 2015.

We’ll All Be Thugs Soon,” Phase Zero, 29 April 2015.

Americans All! (Please Ignore the Mexican Colonels),” Phase Zero, 28 April 2015.

Will The Death of Two Hostages Finally Force Us to Face Drone Killing?,” Phase Zero, 24 April 2015.

U.S. Inadvertently Kills Adam Gadahn, Saves $1,000,000,” Phase Zero, 23 April 2015.

The Blackwater Murders Aren’t Blackwater’s Fault. They’re Ours.,” Phase Zero, 21 April 2015.

Is Germany Really The Heart Of America’s Drone War?,” Phase Zero, 20 April 2015.

April 19 Has Become Everyone-Is-a-Threat Day,” Phase Zero, 17 April 2015.

“Memo: Saudi Arabia in Charge of Stopping Money Flow to ISIS!,” Phase Zero, 17 April 2015.

“ISIS, Mexico, How News Circulates and What’s Fucked Up About Gawker,” Phase Zero, 16 April 2015.

“Memo: How CENTCOM Gets It Done,” Phase Zero, 15 April 2015.

“Why is CENTCOM so stupid?,” Phase Zero, 14 April 2015.

“The Creepy New Security Credit Score for Spotting ‘Insider Threats’,” Phase Zero, 13 April 2015.

The CIA Director Can’t See the Ground from the Ivory Tower,” Phase Zero, 10 April 2015.

$24,000 to Role Play a Senior Official in a Secret Exercise?,” Phase Zero, 9 April 2015.

What is Invincible Shield 15?,” Phase Zero, 8 April 2015.

“Spying on the U.S. Submarine That Spies For the NSA and CIA,” Phase Zero, co-author Adam Weinstein, 7 April 2015.

“‘Bunker Busters’ Will See More Action in News Headlines Than In Iran,” Phase Zero, 6 April 2015.

“American Money Buys Chinese Subs for Pakistan, all for World War III!,” Phase Zero, 3 April 2015.

What is Covenant Guard?,” Phase Zero, 2 April 2015.

“¡Oigan NSA! Estamos aquí mismo hijos de puta!,” Phase Zero, 2 April 2015.

The U.S. Is Going to War Tomorrow at This Fancy Pacific Beach Resort,” Phase Zero, co-author Adam Weinstein, 1 April 2015.

The Forever War Is Always Already Here: Introducing Phase Zero,” Phase Zero, 1 April 2015.

2014

More Federal Agencies Are Using Undercover Operations,” New York Times, co-author Eric Lichtblau, 15 November 2014.

2008

“A Secret Afghanistan Mission Prepares for War with Iran,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 8 May 2008.

“Insurbordination and the F-22 Fighter: It’s Not So Simple,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 15 February 2008.

“Afghanistan Lost? Homeland Insecurity? What Role Does the Brass Play?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 1 February 2008.

“Arms for Sale,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 16 January 2008.

2007

“Divine Victory for Whom?  Airpower in the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War,” Strategic Studies Quarterly (USAF), Winter 2007.

“Russia Lends a Hand,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 27 December 2007.

“In Afghanistan, It’s About Air Power, Too,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 17 December 2007.

“In Defense of Air Power,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 11 December 2007.

“Yes, We Can Fight Wildfires and Terrorists at the Same Time,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 25 October 2007.

“Trimming the Government’s Talons — Or Not,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 July 2007.

“Special Operations Prepared for Domestic Missions,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 22 June 2007

“Asking About Gays in the Military,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 14 March 2007.

“It’s Time to See the Army like FEMA,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 12 March 2007.

“America Needs a Few Good Civilians,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 February 2007.

“The Troops Also Need to Support the American People,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 30 January 2007.

2006

“The Mandate on Rumsfeld,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 6 November 2006.

“A Draft Might Help Us,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 2 November 2006.

“America Spends To Keep the Military Away,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 26 October 2006.

“The Role of Military Men in Politics,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 16 October 2006.

“Michael Brown: Go Away,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 29 August 2006.

“The Price of Homeland Security,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 July 2006.

“Back to the Bunker,” Outlook section, The Washington Post, 4 June 2006, p. B1.

“Telephone Records are just the Tip of NSA’s Iceberg,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 12 May 2006.

“Still Preparing For the Wrong Disaster,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 11 May 2006.

“Blabbermouthing about Secrets,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 28 April 2006.

The Pentagon Preps for Iran,” The Washington Post (Outlook section), 16 April 2006.

“The F Bomb,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 April 2006.

“Dots: An Apparatus of Domestic Repression?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 24 March 2006.

“War Vs. More War for Congress,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 13 February 2006.

“No Big Deal, Pentagon Says,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 February 2006.

“Pentagon Collects Thousands of Names?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 23 January 2006.

“Pentagon Says We’re Sorry,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 January 2006.

2005

“The American Battlefield,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 15 December 2005.

“Pentagon Domestic Spying,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 14 December 2005.

“Military Identity Confusion,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 30 November 2005.

“Domestic Military Intelligence Is Back,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 29 November 2005.

“The War on Flu,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 November 2005.

“Bird Flu, Hurricanes, the Mexico Problem,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 8 November 2005.

“Myers, Uzbekistan, Nukes Bye Bye,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 October 2005.

“DOD: No New Rules Needed,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 22 September 2005.

“Today in DC: Commandos in the Streets?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 21 September 2005.

“Rumsfeld to Katrina: “Thanks”,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 September 2005.

2001

A Week of Air War,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 15 October 2001.

“Rumsfeld’s Difficult Mission,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 30 September 2001.

The Emerging Nuclear Posture,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 30 July 2001.

The Underground Military,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 7 May 2001.

2000

“Making a Molehill out of a Mountain,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 30 January 2000.

“A Year in Review,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 17 January 2000.

“Reconnaissance Over the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 3 January 2000.

1999

“No New Year’s Leave on New Years’ Eve,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 20 December 1999.

“At DIA, Excess Is in the Details,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 6 December 1999.

“A Draft in America’s Future?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 22 November 1999.

“Chinese Embassy Continues to Smolder,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 8 November 1999.

The Cyber Bomb in Yugoslavia,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 25 October 1999.

“Ask Not for Whom the Phone Rings,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 11 October 1999.

“Bugged by the Net,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 27 September 1999.

“What’s Luck Got to Do With It?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 13 September 1999.

“War Entrepreneurs,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 30 August 1999.

“An Invisible Air War on the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 19 July 1999.

“A Military Drudge,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 5 July 1999.

“The Good News About Forgery,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 21 June 1999.

A Mouse That Roars?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 7 June 1999.

Ninja Warriors,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 5 June 2000.

“Changing the Channel in Belgrade,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 24 May 1999.

“Yugoslavia Unplugged,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 10 May 1999.

“NATO’s Info Strategy Bombs,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 26 April 1999.

“This War is Wired,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 12 April 1999.

“Sunrise, Sunset,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 29 March 1999.

“Turning Up the Heat in War,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 15 March 1999.

“A Secretary Goes a Courtin’,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 1 March 1999.

“Round Two: The Pentagon and the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 15 February 1999.

When Seeing and Hearing Isn’t Believing,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 1 February 1999.

Phreaking Hacktivists,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 18 January 1999.

1998

Bugged By Nukes, Nuked by Bugs?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 21 December 1998.

“Losing the Information War With Iraq,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 7 December 1999.

“Flying Solo,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1998.

“War of the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 23 November 1998.

photo

“Do Loose Chips Sink Ships?  Internet Horror Stories Stress Out Pentagon,” Pacific News Service, 2 October 1998 (also in the Washington Times).

“Forces for the Millennium,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1998.

“Misplaced Priorities,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1998.

“Why Detargeting Accords Make No One Safer,” Pacific News Service, 29 June 1998, published in Baltimore Sun.

“Me and World War III,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1998.

“The Gulf War and Its Syndrome,” Washington Quarterly, Spring 1998.

“Dangerous Directions,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1998.

“Crossed t’s, dotted i’s,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1998.

1997

“Nuclear Misdirective,” The Nation, 29 December 1997.

“The Beat Goes On,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1997.

“What’s `New’?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1997 [new nuclear weapons developments].

“Russia’s Port-a-Nukes,” The Nation, 29 September 1997.

“Landmine Decision: The President Draws A Line — But Not on the Ground,” Pacific News Service, 22 September 1997.

“Still glowing,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1997 [depleted uranium use].

“U.S.-Israeli Tactical Laser Gets Boost,” Laser Report, 15 August 1997.

“Blame the Internet,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1997.

“Year After Attacks, U.S.-Israel Laser Remains `High Risk’,” (with John Donnelly), Defense Week, 5 May 1997.

“The Army on the Web,” Army, May 1997.

“Air Force Organizes for Offensive Info War,” (with Tony Capaccio), Defense Week, 31 March 1997.

“New Nuclear Bomb Enters the Ranks in Resounding Silence,” Pacific News Service, 24 March 1997, published in San Francisco Examiner, Casper Star-Tribune.

“The bomb has many friends,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1997.

“The Three No’s,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1997.

“Infrared Jammer Spurs Dilemma” (Commentary), Laser Report, 15 March 1997.

“Bring on the Radiation,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1997.

“Acoustic Anti-Personnel Weapons: An Inhumane Future?,” Medicine, Conflict, and Survival, Vol. 14, 1997.

1996

“USAF Reveals Laser Project Plans,” Laser Report, 15 December 1996.

“Don’t Blame Internet for TWA Rumor,” Minneapolis Star Tribune (via Pacific News Service), 21 November 1996.

“THEL Gets Defense-Budget Boost,” Laser Report, 1 November 1996.

“Calculated Ambiguity: Nuclear Weapons and the Gulf War,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 4 (1996).

“The Special Weapons Umbrella,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1996.

“Nuking Libya,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1996.

“Perry Affirms Blinding-Laser Weapons Ban,” Laser Report, 1 June 1996.

“Nuclear excuses,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1996.

“Blinding Laser Weapons Ban in Question,” Laser Report, 1 May 1996.

“The Clock Strikes Out,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1996.

“New, and Stupid,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1996.

1995

“Vienna meeting sets ban on blinding laser weapons,” Laser Focus World, December 1995.

“Iran and the Virtual Reality of US War Games,” Middle East Report, November-December 1995.

“Pentagon sees the light,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1995.

“Blinding Weapons to be Banned,” Laser Report, 15 October 1995.

“Tales from nuclear storyland,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1995.

“Setting Humane Limits for Laser Weaponry,” Photonics Spectra, August 1995.

“Ban Tactical Laser Weapons: DOD Maintains Blinding is Not Violation of War,” Defense News, 17-23 July 1995.

“Iran in the cross-hairs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1995.

“The Pentagon’s Blind Ambition,” The New York Times, 10 May 1995.

“A Fine Garble,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1995.

“NPT — Back to Ground Zero,” The Nation, 24 April 1995.

“A Tale of Two Franks,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1995.

“Inarticulating Nuclear Policy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1995.

1994

“Minibus, Son of Mininuke,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1994.

“Success Phobia,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1994.

“Bad Posture: The nuclear priesthood slouches onward,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1994.

“The Sky-Is-Still-Falling Profession,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1994.

1993

“Nuclear Junkies: Those Lovable Little Bombs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1993.

Letter to the Editor (Gulf War casualties), Foreign Policy, Summer 1993.

“The Desert Glows — With Propaganda,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1993.

“US Policy Fostered Iraq’s Role as Victim,” Newsday, 16 April 1993.

“Iraq Without George Bush,” The Christian Science Monitor, 7 April 1993.

1992

“The Teddy Bear’s Picnic,” The Nation, 2 November 1992.

“US Arms in Iraq,” The Washington Post, Letter to the Editor, 24 October 1992.

“Little Nuclear Secrets,” The New York Times, 9 September 1992.

“Unindicted Co-conspirators,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July-August 1992.

“Tinynukes for Mini Minds,” (with Robert S. Norris), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1992.

1991

“Nuclear Weapons Headed for The Trash (with Damien Durrant and Hans Kristensen),” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1991.

“The Gulf `Hyperwar’ — An Interim Tally,” The New York Times, 22 June 1991.

“Why all the talk of high-tech arms?,” The Buffalo News, 22 February 1991.

“An Arms Race of another sort,” The Chicago Tribune, 22 February 1991.

“Nukleares Vabanquespiel,” Der Standard [Austria], 2 January 1991.

1990

“US Nukes in the Gulf,” The Nation, 31 December 1990.

“Huge Nuclear Force in Gulf,” San Francisco Chronicle, 12 December 1990.

“Nuclear Arsenal in Gulf is Scary – and it’s Ours,” The Buffalo News, 6 December 1990.

“US Hangs Nukes Over Iraq,” The Plain Dealer, 6 December 1990.

“Gulf Loaded with Nukes — on US Ships,” The Oregonian, 4 December 1990.

“Nuclear Safety: Morality and Democracy are Real Issues at Stake,” Seattle Post-Intelligencer, 5 November 1990.

“Beating Swords Into Swords,” (with Robert S. Norris), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1990.

“Sweden’s Non-Nuclear Policy Comes Home,” Dagens Nyheter (Sweden), 13 September 1990.

“The Bummers:  Twelve Nuclear Bombs that Could Ruin the `90s,” Greenpeace Magazine, May/June 1990.

“Soviets Disarm, Mysteriously,” (with Joshua Handler and Hans M. Kristensen), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1990.

“The Folly of Trident,” Greenpeace Magazine, March/April 1990.

“Alaskans Facing Bright Future without Military,” Anchorage Daily News, 27 January 1990.

1989

“Anchors Awry:  Our Arrogant Navy,” The Washington Post, 3 December 1989.

“Look Around, Then Discuss Weapons at Sea,” International Herald Tribune, 1 December 1989.

“Keep Our Secrets and Theirs, Too,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1989.

“Abrustungswelle beim Meeresgipfel,” Der Standard [Austria], 29 November 1989.

“…And Naval Arms Control,” The New York Times, 29 November 1989.

“Stealth Cruise Sneaks into Canada,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1989 (also in The Toronto Star, 9 May 1989).

“How ‘They’ See ‘Us’,” (with Julie Morrissey), Nuclear Times, March/April 1989.

“Gorbachev Talks but Who Listens?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1989.

“The Buildup That Wasn’t,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1989.

“Troubled Waters: The Navy’s Aggressive War Strategy,” Technology Review, January 1989.

1988

“Arms and the Man: Paul Nitze’s role in the race to reduce weapons,” Chicago Tribune, 6 November 1988.

“Enough Military Restraint to Warrant a Response,” International Herald Tribune, 2 November 1988.

“A legacy of John Lehman makes the world more dangerous,” The Virginian-Pilot and the Ledger-Star, 10 July 1988.

“Our Risky Naval Strategy Could Get Us All Killed,” The Washington Post, 3 July 1988.

“Limiting Nuclear Navies Will Be the Next Step,” (with Joshua Handler), International Herald Tribune, 1 July 1988.

“US Nuclear Warheads: Plenty Now, More to Come,” The Los Angeles Times, 17 May 1988.

“New INF Numbers Cast Doubt on Standard Press Tallies,” Deadline (NYU Center for War, Peace and the News Media), May/June 1988.

“Spying in the Black Sea,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1988.

“Behind the disclosure of US secret tests,” (with Robert S. Norris and Thomas B. Cochran), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1988.

“US Nuclear Weapons Production: An Overview,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1988.

1987

“Happy Birthday, Flexible Response,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1987.

“Navy Autonomy Thwarts Arms Control,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September 1987; also as “Fladens Frihed Hindrer Kontrol Med Farligt Kaplob,” Information (Denmark), 30 Sept 1987.

“Canada Even More Under US Thumb in Sub Plan,” (with Steve Shallhorn), Globe and Mail (Toronto), 7 July 1987.

“Subs Might in Fact Reduce Sovereignty,” (with Steve Shallhorn), The Montreal Gazette, 22 June 1987.

“Long on Data, Short on Intelligence,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June 1987.

“Pentagon Banking on Castro Phobia,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1987.

“Red Herring in the Pacific,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1987.

“Espana-OTAN, un Ano Despues: Razones para el Optimismo,” Tiempo de Paz [Spain], Spring 1987.

“Greece’s Balancing Act,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1987.

“Los Estados Unidas Quieren Alojar en Espana 32 Bombas Nucleares,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), Diario de Tervel [Spain], 14 March 1987.

“Espana en la Carrera de las Armas Nucleares,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 18 March 1987; also in El Faro de Ceuta [Spain], 20 March 1987; Papeles Para la Paz [Spain], No. 16-17, December 1986 – January 1987.

“La Conexion Nuclear en las Bases Espanolas,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 19 March 1987.

“Espana y las Operaciones de la OTAN,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 20 March 1987.

“A Return to Disarmament,” (with Cornelia Durrant), Greenpeace Magazine, Vol. 12, No. 2, April-June 1987.

“General Nutting and the Invaders,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January-February 1987.

1986

“Frozen Pork: How Alaska’s Sen. Stevens Got His Army Division,” Washington Post (Outlook section), 28 December 1986.

“Nuclear War in Triplicate,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1986.

“No Use for No First Use,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1986.

“Test Ban Fever,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,  October 1986.

“Fewer Warheads in Europe,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, August/September 1986.

“The New Mix of Defense and Deterrence,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,” June/July 1986.

“At the Movies,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1986.

“Canada – Too Close For Comfort,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1986; also as “Canada Stands Shakily on Guard,” The Gazette (Montreal), 5 March 1986; and “Canada Can’t Tell Where it Stands Defensively,” The Houston Post, 30 May 1986.

“Of Drugs and Star Wars,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1986.

“A Global Role for NATO,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January 1986; and in Nontiki (Greece), 21 March 1986.

1985

“Confirm or Deny,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1985.

“Provocations at Sea,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1985.

“Playing Chicken in Turkey,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1985.

“Beltway Bandits,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September 1985.

“History of the Nuclear Stockpile,” (with Robert S. Norris and Thomas B. Cochran), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, August 1985.

“Focus on the Nuclear Infrastructure,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June/July 1985.

“Forward Offensive Strategy in the Pacific,” (with David W. Chappell), World Policy, Summer 1985.

“Das Pulverfass,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 17 May 1985.

“Espana y Las Operaciones Nucleares de Estados Unidos,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Cambio 16 [Spain], 6‑13 May 1985.

“Preparing for World War IV,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1985.

“The Nuclear Infrastructure in the State of California,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), California Magazine, April 1985.

“The Role of the West in the Nuclear Web,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Northern Light, April 1985.

“Nuclear backpacks,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1985.

“Canada: ally in the nuclear dark,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), The Globe and Mail (Canada), March 15, 1985.

“Waging Secrecy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1985.

“Conventional buildup ‑‑ A deliberate delusion,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1985.

“Japan as a High Threat Area,” (with David Chappell), Sekkai [Japan], February 1985.

“Spy Satellites: `Secret,’ But Much is Known,” The Washington Post, 6 January 1985 (with Jeffrey T. Richelson).

“Countdown fur den krieg im all,” (with Peter Pringle), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 3 January 1985.

“The drift toward first strike,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January 1985.

1984

“Sleight of hand with Trident II,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1984.

“Informe Sobre Eventuales Despliegues de Armas Nucleares en el Exterior,” Afers Internacionals [Spain], Winter 1984.

“Tomahawk: ominous new deployment,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1984; also in Sekkai [Japan].

“Resource Paper on the US Nuclear Arsenal,” (with Thomas B. Cochran and Milton M. Hoenig), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, centerfold insert, August‑September 1984.

“The Soviet Nuclear Stockpile,” (with Jeffrey I. Sands), Arms Control Today, June 1984.

“Going with Small ICBMs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1984.

“SDI ‑‑ Pie in the sky?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1984.

“Arsenals move North,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,  March 1984.

“Flying in the Face of Arms Control,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1984.

1983

“Eine Waffe fur alle Falle,” [Pershing II in West Germany], Stern Magazin [West Germany], December 21, 1983.

“Nuclear Balancing Act in the Pacific,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1983; also in Sekkai [Japan].

“The Soviet Crisis and Flight 007,” Arms Control Today, November 1983.

“Nuclear Security: The Enemy May be Us,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1983.

“Nuclear Weapons at Sea?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1983; also “Wird der Nuklearkrieg auf See beginnen?, Vorwarts [West Germany], October 13, 1983.

“A colpi di superspionaggio,” L’Espresso, [Italy], October 3, 1983 (Korean Air Lines Flight 007 cover story); also “Nordlige Stillehavs‑omrade er proppet med spiodstyr,” Information [Denmark].

“The Impact of Soviet Theater Nuclear Force Improvements,” (with David Chappell), ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1983.

“Pershing II and US Nuclear Strategy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June‑July 1983; also as “Eine Rakete fur viele Missionen,” in Vorwarts [West Germany], 7 July 1983.

“Soviet Cruise Missile Programs,” Arms Control Today, May 1983; also “Sovjets krydsmissiler er voksende trussel,” Information [Denmark].

“Pershing and Cruise: No Room for Compromise,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 5, No. 2, March/April 1983; also excerpted in END Journal [United Kingdom] #4, June/July 1983.

“Why SIOP‑6?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1983; also “Von der Krise bis zum verlangerten Atomkrieg gilt der Schlussel C3I,” Vorwarts [West Germany], August 4, 1983.

“C3I: Command Post for Armageddon,” (with Peter Pringle), The Nation [Special Issue on the New Arms Technology], April 9, 1983.

“Das Spiel vom Weltuntergang ‑ Wie Washington sich auf den Atomkrieg vorbereitet,” (with Peter Pringle), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 30 March 1983; “Wie sich Amerika auf den Atomkrieg vorbereitet,” 7 April 1983 and 14 April 1983 (three part series).

1982

“More Weapons Nobody Wants,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1982.

“European Nuclear Weapons Developments,” in ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 4, No. 2, March/April 1982; also reprinted as

“Growing Pool of Nukes,” in END Bulletin [United Kingdom], No. 9, May‑June 1982.

1981

“`Soviet Military Power,’ or a Case Not Made,” The Nation, October 24, 1981; also as “Een Sovjetoverwicht dat niet bewezen wordt,” De Groene Amsterdammer [The Netherlands], 28 October 1981.

“Full Speed Ahead and Damn the Allies,” In These Times, August 26‑September 1, 1981.

“Nuclear New Math,” The Nation, 8-15 August 1981.

“Nye avsloringer av amerikansk‑norsk flyprogram,” (with Ingolf Hakon Teigene), in Ny Tid [Norway], 27 May 1981.

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3 responses to “Archive of Writings

  1. Mr. William M. Arkin
    I’m a journalist.
    The Cold War period, interested in issues of military strategy.
    There is an important document attached to this email.
    If you help me, can achieve important results.
    Greetings.

    Deniz Turan

    MATHEMATİCS VULNERABİLİTY AND ONE İMPORTANT QUESTİON
    Pkill –M (To a certain resistance to the silo, kill radius)
    I do not want to make this calculation = Pkill1-1 + Pkill2-1
    I want to make this calculation = Pkill-M (meter)
    One would like to do the calculation for SS-9 missiles warhead = Pkill-M (meter)
    20 MT single warhead
    900-1000 meter CEP
    NIE-72; 308 total number SS-9 missiles = 1000 Minuteman silos= %60-70 Destruction (Minimum)
    Les Aspin projection : 308 total SS-9 missiles = %08 Destruction (2000 PSI Minuteman silos)*
    Minuteman silo = how many number PSI ???????????????
    How is it calculated?
    SOURCE: NIE-72 and Nıxon SIOP Planning- GWU-NSA, SIOP PDF-2
    SS-9 DESTRUCTION POWER: “Chance of disabling a Minuteman silo, …..Allowing the reliability factor of 75 percent for an estimated force (that portion of the force which is expected to reach the target area, detonate), it could be expected that some 70 percent of the SS-9 Mod 2s that the Soviets were able to target against Minuteman silos would disable their targets in the first case, and that less than 60 percent would do so in the second case. Centers for Minuteman launch control two SS-9 Mod-2 missiles would be required to achieve similar probabilities, and the probabilities fall off more sharply as the estimated accuracy declines. ”
    “The significance of These is Considerable differences, but the Soviets would in any event have to deploy several times the present number of SS-9 Mod Mod 1s and 2s, with their present capabilities, that would pose a serious threat before achieving a force to the Minuteman force as a whole “(NIE-72)
    As we have seen, an SS-9 attack, and %60-70 percent will destroy, of all Minuteman silos. Two SS-9, will eliminate all Minuteman control centers.An SS-9 attack to destroy the possibility of 100% of all Minuteman silos, according to an opinion, the ratio of 13-16%.
    In this case, the Soviet capability to achieve more in the early 1970s came to the brink of a first strike.
    NIE-72, SS-9 force to attack the Minuteman silos stated that the probability of critical importance.Soviet SS-‘9s pair of when combined with other classes of missile silos at an early date, all U.S. missile which they could dispose of the early 1970s.
    However,MIRV technology was not developed yet.Therefore, can not be cross-targeting. For this reason, together with a variety of classes participated in a combined missile attack was difficult to realize. Fired missiles at the same time it was difficult to advance the objectives and the range of the missiles would have a certain period of time.This situation, we add the lack of sea missiles, missile silos USA SS-‘s pair of 9s would be the main force attack (NIE-72, not sure if this issue and intends to use the power of the Soviet Union did not know how to say.Page; 32-37) Thus, in the event of an attack, SS -9, there could be a possibility, and fever to get rid of a part of U.S. missiles.
    From this information, one of the first attack on the Soviet Union’s ability, yet did not get exactly what you say. The Soviet Union since 1974 and the introduction of missiles with MIRV technology, has the ability to make cross-targeting. Cross the Soviet missiles capable of targeting, Moderate SAL forces. For example, a moderate attack power you get 60% destruction of two warheads provided, however, except for a moderate power missiles in service throughout the 1970s and the SS-9 missiles, power missiles used together with a moderate rate of destruction of a combined attack there could be a 90-100% destruction. After 1974, the Soviets have achieved a significant first strike capability. SS-9 missiles CEP values ranged from 900 to 1100 meters.
    *NOTE: See Representative Les Aspin, “Judge Not by Numbers Alone,” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (June 1980), p. 30.

    The Projection Table-1 : 308 total SS-9 missiles = %08 Destruction (2000 PSI Minuteman silos)
    SS-9 Single warhead Pkill1-1 = 0,28 (Origin RAND Coparation and Calculation mathematically derived from current intelligence information.)

  2. Hi. You wrote an article on warrantless wiretapping in 2007. Could you put it into this archive.

  3. Seems pretty relevant today.

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