Archive of Writings

(A work in progress)

Books

Unmanned: Drones, Data and the Illusion of Perfect Warfare (forthcoming July 28, 2015)

American Coup:  How a Terrified Government is Destroying the Constitution (2013).

Top Secret America: The Rise of the New American Security State (with Dana Priest) (2011)

Divining Victory: Airpower In The 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War (2007)

Code Names: Deciphering U.S. Military Plans, Programs and Operations in the 9/11 World (2005)

Operation Iraqi Freedom: 22 Historic Days in Words and Pictures (2003)

Nuclear Battlefields: Global Links in the Arms Race 

S.I.O.P.: The Secret U.S. Plan for Nuclear War (with Peter Pringle)

U.S. Military Online (2nd Ed., 1998) (Also available online from the National Security Archive (1998)

Research Guide to Current Military and Strategic Affairs

Special Projects

Top Secret America: The 2010 series and online web presentation done at The Washington Post.

Military Analyst William M. Arkin on U.S. Airstrikes Against Iraq (Operation Desert Fox), Transcript of live Web discussion, washingtonpost.com, 23 December 1998.

Fog of War:  A 1998 online project I worked on at WashingtonPost.com describing Operation Desert Storm, the first Gulf War.

Early Warning: An archive of some of my old online columns at The Washington Post (until 2008).

Articles

2019

With little oversight, the Pentagon uses role players for military training exercises,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Kevin Monahan & Rich Schapiro, 17 January 2019.

2018

Intelligence officials: No evidence of any attempts to tamper with midterm election systems,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Courtney Kube, 5 November 2018.

U.S. intelligence officials have seen no evidence that any nation state is attempting to tamper with voting systems or election infrastructure ahead of tomorrow’s midterm election, intelligence officials told NBC News Tuesday.

Pompeo has been sending messages to Kim Jong Un for longer than you think,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 18 April 2018.

President Donald Trump confirmed Wednesday that his choice for secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, had visited North Korea recently for one-on-one talks with Kim Jong Un. But a review of Pompeo’s comments over the past year shows he started sending messages to the North Korean leader long ago.

An NBC News review of Pompeo’s public comments reveals a change in tenor from belligerence to diplomacy. Just three weeks before he left on his secret mission, he called Kim “a very young leader who is clearly in charge of his country.”

How does the U.S. decide which Russians to throw out of the country?” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 29 March 2018.

Possible Russian trolls try to register for Texas Democratic convention,” NBC News, co-author Kevin Monahan, 15 March 2018.

What Mike Pompeo means for the Iran nuclear deal,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 14 March 2018.

When President Donald Trump explained why he dumped Rex Tillerson as secretary of state and chose CIA Director Mike Pompeo to replace him, disagreements over the Iran nuclear deal were at the top of his list.

Mueller eyes charges against Russians who stole, spread Democrats’ emails,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Julia Ainsley, 1 March 2018.

Special counsel Robert Mueller is assembling a case for criminal charges against Russians who carried out the hacking and leaking of private information designed to hurt Democrats in the 2016 election, multiple current and former government officials familiar with the matter tell NBC News.

Exclusive:  U.S. intel: Russia compromised seven states prior to 2016 election,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Cynthia McFadden &  Kevin Monahan, 27 February 2018.

Exclusive:  DHS cybersecurity head: ‘No doubt’ Russians penetrated voter registration systems,” NBC News, 7 February 2018.

In an exclusive interview with NBC News’ Cynthia McFadden, Jeanette Manfra, the head of cybersecurity at the Department of Homeland Security, says that 21 states were targeted during the 2016 election. CORRECTION: This Nightly News segment has been updated to correct a map of 21 states that officials say were targeted by Russian hackers. Our original report incorrectly showed Georgia and omitted Alaska. Georgia is not one of the 21 targeted states; Alaska is.

Russians penetrated U.S. voter systems, top U.S. official says,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Kevin Monahan, 7 February 2018.

The U.S. official in charge of protecting American elections from hacking says the Russians successfully penetrated the voter registration rolls of several U.S. states prior to the 2016 presidential election.

In an exclusive interview with NBC News, Jeanette Manfra, the head of cybersecurity at the Department of Homeland Security, said she couldn’t talk about classified information publicly, but in 2016, “We saw a targeting of 21 states and an exceptionally small number of them were actually successfully penetrated.”

(National Association of Secretaries of State (NASS) respond: https://www.nass.org/node/1317)

U.S. airstrikes in Yemen have increased sixfold under Trump,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem & Courtney Kube, 1 February 2018.

The U.S. military drastically stepped up its air campaign in Yemen last year, conducting more than six times as many airstrikes as in 2016, according to data from U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM).

2017

Microwave weapon could fry North Korean missile controls, say experts,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Kevin Monahan & Kenzi Abou-Sabe, 4 December 2017.

The U.S. has microwave weapons that proponents believe could stop North Korea from launching missiles by frying their electronics.

The weapons were discussed at an August White House meeting related to North Korea, according to two U.S. officials with direct knowledge.

Sources:  Trump Administration May Deepen Military Involvement in Africa,” NBC News, 25 October 2017.

U.S. Now Moving Toward Armed Drones, Lethal Force in Niger,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Courtney Kube, Hans Nichols & Cynthia McFadden, 25 October 2017.

The Trump administration is paving the way for lethal strikes against terrorists in Niger as the U.S. military pushes forward with a plan to arm the Reaper drones that fly over that country, multiple U.S. officials told NBC News.

How the Trump Team’s First Military Raid in Yemen Went Wrong,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Tim Uelinger, 1 October 2017.

Surely the most memorable moment from President Donald Trump’s first address to a joint session of Congress, and to the nation, came in his tribute to Ryan Owens, a fallen Navy SEAL.

“Ryan died as he lived, a warrior and a hero, battling against terrorism and securing our nation,” the president said on Feb. 28. The SEAL’s tearful widow, Carryn Owens, sat in the place of honor above the chamber.

… Over the past eight months, NBC News has spoken to more than two dozen officials and special operations insiders to piece together the facts of this Top Secret mission.

Exclusive:  The Pentagon Prepares Pre-Emptive Strike Plan for North Korea,” NBC News, 9 August 2017.

The Pentagon has prepared a specific strike plan for a pre-emptive attack on North Korea, should the President order one.

B-1 Bombers Key to a U.S. Plan to Strike North Korean Missile Sites,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Kevin Monahan & Kenzi Abou-Sabe, 9 August 2017.

The Pentagon has prepared a specific plan for a preemptive strike on North Korea’s missile sites should President Trump order such an attack.

Two senior military officials — and two senior retired officers — told NBC News that key to the plan would be a B-1B heavy bomber attack originating from Andersen Air Force Base in Guam.

Who Planted the Fake News at Center of Qatar Crisis?,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 18 July 2017.

“Fake news” designed to harm Qatar’s relations with the U.S. played a major role in the diplomatic split between the tiny Gulf nation and its neighbors, say both U.S. officials and the Qatari government.

TSA Report Warns Against Truck Ramming Attacks by Terrorists,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 3 May 2017.

Truck owners and truck rental agencies in the U.S. must be “vigilant” about the increasing frequency of “ramming attacks” by terrorists using vehicles as killing machines, according to a new Transportation Security Administration report obtained exclusively by NBC News.

North Korea Speeds Up Missile Tests to Send Message to Trump,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 1 May 2017.

North Korea is “throwing” missiles up — some still experimental — to show the Trump administration the country is a “serious” international player, multiple U.S. officials told NBC News.

Two officials said it doesn’t seem to matter to the Kim Jong Un regime whether the tests succeed or fail, and most have failed.

North Korea Test Fire of Ballistic Missile Fails, U.S. Officials Say,” NBC News, co-authors Courtney Kube, Robert Windrem & Phil Helsel, 28 April 2017.

North Korea carried out another banned ballistic missile test on Friday, U.S. officials confirmed to NBC News, but the missile exploded just after launch.

Houthi Rebels Use Another Unmanned Boat Bomb Against the Saudis,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 26 April 2017.

U.S. Spy Planes Watching for Possible North Korea Nuke Test,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem, Ken Dilanian & Courtney Kube, 20 April 2017.

Exclusive:  U.S. May Launch Strike If North Korea Reaches for Nuclear Trigger,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Kenzi Abou-Sabe, 13 April 2017.

The U.S. is prepared to launch a preemptive strike with conventional weapons against North Korea should officials become convinced that North Korea is about to follow through with a nuclear weapons test, multiple senior U.S. intelligence officials told NBC News.

Exclusive: Trump’s Options for North Korea Include Placing Nukes in South Korea,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Kevin Monahan & Robert Windrem, 7 April 2017.

The National Security Council has presented President Donald Trump with options to respond to North Korea’s nuclear program — including putting American nukes in South Korea or killing dictator Kim Jong-un, multiple top-ranking intelligence and military officials told NBC News.

Blackwater Founder Repped Trump at Secret Meeting Overseas: Sources,” NBC News, co-author, 3 April 2017.

Blackwater founder Erik Prince represented Donald Trump at a secret overseas meeting convened by the United Arab Emirates in early January, two intelligence sources familiar with the matter told NBC News.

Fears ISIS Could Plant Bombs in Planes Driving New Rules: Officials,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 22 March 2017.

Exclusive:  Trump’s Pentagon Presents ISIS Plan That Looks Much Like Obama’s,” NBC News, co-author Cynthia McFadden, 17 March 2017.

Donald Trump promised during the campaign to implement a “secret plan” to defeat ISIS, including a pledge to “bomb the hell out of” the terror group in Iraq and Syria.

Now, the Pentagon has given him a secret plan, but it turns out to be a little more than an “intensification” of the same slow and steady approach that Trump derided under the Obama administration, two senior officials who have reviewed the document told NBC News.

American Citizens: U.S. Border Agents Can Search Your Cellphone,” NBC News, co-authors E.D. Cauchi, Cynthia McFadden & Kevin Monahan, 13 March 2017.

When Buffalo, New York couple Akram Shibly and Kelly McCormick returned to the U.S. from a trip to Toronto on Jan. 1, 2017, U.S. Customs & Border Protection officers held them for two hours, took their cellphones and demanded their passwords.

“It just felt like a gross violation of our rights,” said Shibly, a 23-year-old filmmaker born and raised in New York. But he and McCormick complied, and their phones were searched.

WikiLeaks Mystery: How Were CIA Hacking Tools Stolen?,” NBC News, co-authors Andrea Mitchell & Ken Dilanian, 8 March 2017.

Counter-intelligence investigators are scrambling to figure out how classified CIA hacking tools were stolen from the CIA — and whether an agency employee, contractors, Russian hackers or some combination of the three is to blame, U.S. officials told NBC News.

U.S. Launches Airstrikes in Yemen,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Courtney Kube, 2 March 2017.

Exclusive:  Yemen Raid Latest: Still No Valuable Intel Produced, Ten Senior Officials Say,” NBC News, 1 March 2017.

In his address, the president emphatically repeated that the Yemen raid yielded significant intelligence, but ten senior officials tells NBC Nightly News that, so far, nothing valuable has been produced.

Exclusive:  Yemen SEAL Raid Has Yielded No Significant Intelligence: Officials,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 27 February 2017.

U.S. Flexes Its Military Muscle Off China,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 24 February 2017.

Ignore That Spy Ship Off the Coast. The Russians Aren’t Coming,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem & Courtney Kube, 16 February 2017.

Russia remains a threatening adversary of the U.S., but the country’s recent aggressive military actions aren’t signs of an imminent conflict, U.S. officials told NBC News

Traditional media and social media have been atwitter with reports of a Russian spy ship off Connecticut, the “buzzing” of a U.S. ship by Russian fighters and reports of new cruise missile deployments by Russia.

But U.S. military and intelligence officials said concerns about these incidents are, in the words of one, “highly overstated.”

Russia Considers Returning Snowden to U.S. to ‘Curry Favor’ With Trump: Official,” NBC News, co-author Cynthia McFadden, 10 February 2017.

U.S. intelligence has collected information that Russia is considering turning over Edward Snowden as a “gift” to President Donald Trump — who has called the NSA leaker a “spy” and a “traitor” who deserves to be executed.

That’s according to a senior U.S. official who has analyzed a series of highly sensitive intelligence reports detailing Russian deliberations and who says a Snowden handover is one of various ploys to “curry favor” with Trump. A second source in the intelligence community confirms the intelligence about the Russian conversations and notes it has been gathered since the inauguration.

McCain: Yemen Raid Was Meant to Capture, Kill Al Qaeda Terrorists,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Frank Thorp V, 8 February 2017.

Al Qaeda chief targeted in deadly Yemen raid is now taunting Trump,” NBC News, 7 February 2017.

Qassim al-Rimi, the head of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula , has been revealed as the target of a raid in Yemen last week in which a Navy SEAL, 14 al Qaeda fighters and several civilians were killed. But al-Rimi is still alive and is now taunting President Trump. NBC News senior legal and investigative correspondent Cynthia McFadden reports for TODAY.

Exclusive:  Yemen Raid Had Secret Target: Al Qaeda Leader Qassim Al-Rimi,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Tracy Connor, 6 February 2017.

The Navy SEAL raid in Yemen last week had a secret objective — the head of al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, who survived and is now taunting President Donald Trump in an audio message.

Military and intelligence officials told NBC News the goal of the massive operation was to capture or kill Qassim al-Rimi, considered the third most dangerous terrorist in the world and a master recruiter.

Inside the Navy SEAL Raid in Yemen Targeting al Qaeda,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 2 February 2017.

It might have been a barking dog, or a crashed drone, or overheard chatter on walkie talkies. But multiple military and intelligence sources told NBC News that something tipped off the terrorist targets of an early-morning raid by the U.S. and its allies in Yemen on Sunday, and all hell broke loose.

A well-rehearsed mission that was supposed to extract computers and other intelligence from an al Qaeda camp near a mountain village turned into a massive firefight involving Harrier jets, helicopter gunships and gun-wielding jihadi women that killed one Navy SEAL, 14 al Qaeda fighters and, allegedly, non-combatant women and children.

SEAL, American Girl Die in First Trump-Era U.S. Military Raid,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem, Courtney Kube, Charlene Gubash, 31 January 2017.

In what an official said was the first military raid carried out under President Donald Trump, two Americans were killed in Yemen on Sunday — one a member of SEAL Team 6 and the other the 8-year-old daughter of Anwar al-Awlaki, the New Mexico-born al Qaeda leader who himself was killed in a U.S. strike five years ago.

The raid in southern Yemen, conducted by the supersecret Joint Special Operations Command, was intended to capture valuable intelligence, specifically computer equipment, according to a senior U.S. military official. Three al Qaeda leaders were killed, according to U.S. officials.

Draft Order Eyes Return to Overseas CIA Prisons,” NBC News, co-author Ken Dilanian, 25 January 2017.

A draft executive order circulating inside the government calls for studying whether the CIA should get back in the business of capturing and interrogating terrorists overseas, a program launched after 9/11 that President Obama banned because it involved the use of what most people consider torture.

Protecting the President: Secret Weapons and a Hefty Price Tag,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Kevin Monaha, 20 January 2017.

To the average American, presidential protection conjures up the image of a stone-faced Secret Service agent hovering near the commander-in-chief’s podium or running alongside his limo.

But the effort to keep any president safe once he’s in office goes far beyond that, with heavy military involvement, a fleet of aircraft, unseen weapons, drones — and a very hefty price-tag.

NBC News has reviewed planning and budget documents — many of them top secret — that lay out the crown jewels of presidential protection. The operation, especially in the post-9/11 era, is the most sophisticated protection and communications system in the world.

Donald Trump Is Getting the Nuclear Football,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 19 January 2017.

Sometime before he’s sworn in Friday, President-elect Trump will sit down with the top military officers who control America’s massive military arsenal and get “The Briefing,” the one that provides him with an understanding — and the tools — of how he would wage nuclear war.

President Obama Commutes Chelsea Manning’s Sentence,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Tracy Connor, 17 January 2017.

Exclusive:  Army Leaker Chelsea Manning on Obama’s ‘Short List’ for Commutation,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Kevin Monahan &Tracy Connor, 11 January 2017.

President Barack Obama has put Chelsea Manning, the former Army intelligence analyst serving a 35-year sentence for leaking classified material, on his short list for a possible commutation, a Justice Department source told NBC News.

Trump Wasn’t Told About Russia Memo During Briefing, Official Says,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Alexey Eremenko & Alexander Smith, 11 January 2017. 

President-elect Donald Trump was not told about unverified reports that Russia has compromising information on him during last week’s intelligence briefing, according to a senior intelligence official with knowledge of preparations for the briefing.

A summary of the unverified reports was prepared as background material for the briefing, but not discussed during the meeting, the official said.

U.S. Has ID’d Russians Who Gave Hacked Emails to WikiLeaks,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Hallie Jackson, 5 January 2017.

A senior U.S. intelligence official with direct knowledge confirmed to NBC News that the report on Russian hacking delivered to President Obama Thursday says that U.S. intelligence picked up senior Russian officials celebrating Donald Trump’s win.

The U.S. has also identified Russian actors who turned over stolen Democratic material to WikiLeaks, the source told NBC News Thursday.

Trump, Intel Agencies Can’t Even Agree on Timing of Meeting,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Cynthia McFadden, 4 January 2017.

The gulf between President-elect Donald Trump and U.S. intelligence agencies has grown so wide that the two camps can’t even agree on the scheduled date of a briefing Trump is supposed to get about Russian hacking.

2016

The Spy Next Door: What Went On in Russia’s Shuttered U.S. Compounds?,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem, Tom Winter, Kenzi Abou-Sabe, 30 December 2016.

U.S. Unveils Plan to Punish Russians for Election Hack,” NBC News, co-authors Tracy Connor, Robert Windrem & Tom Winter, 29 December 2016.

Exclusive:  What Obama Said to Putin on the Red Phone About the Election Hack,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Cynthia McFadden, 19 December 2016.

Determined to stop Russia’s interference in the presidential campaign, at least one of President Obama’s senior advisers urged him to make the ultimate threat to Russian President Vladimir Putin, U.S. officials told NBC News:

Mess with the vote and we will consider it an act of war.

Exclusive:  Vladimir Putin personally involved in US election hack, intelligence officials say,” NBC News, 15 December 2016.

NBC News has exclusively learned from senior intelligence officials that Russian President Vladimir Putin was personally involved in the campaign to undermine the U.S. election, in what began as a personal “vendetta” against Hillary Clinton. NBC’s Cynthia McFadden reports for TODAY that Putin’s role was to direct how hacked material was leaked and used.

Exclusive:  Why Didn’t Obama Do More About Russian Election Hack?,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Robert Windrem & Cynthia McFadden, 15 December 2016.

The Obama administration didn’t respond more forcefully to Russian hacking before the presidential election because they didn’t want to appear to be interfering in the election and they thought that Hillary Clinton was going to win and a potential cyber war with Russia wasn’t worth it, multiple high-level government officials told NBC News.

Exclusive:  U.S. Intel Directly Links President Putin to Campaign to Disrupt U.S. Election,” NBC News, 14 December 2016.

U.S. intelligence officials assert that the Russian president was involved in the campaign to disrupt the presidential election by “directing the use of the [hacked] material.”

Exclusive:  U.S. Officials: Putin Personally Involved in U.S. Election Hack,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Cynthia McFadden, 14 December 2016.

U.S. intelligence officials now believe with “a high level of confidence” that Russian President Vladimir Putin became personally involved in the covert Russian campaign to interfere in the U.S. presidential election, senior U.S. intelligence officials told NBC News.

Two senior officials with direct access to the information say new intelligence shows that Putin personally directed how hacked material from Democrats was leaked and otherwise used. The intelligence came from diplomatic sources and spies working for U.S. allies, the officials said.

The Cost for Protecting Jet-Setting President-Elect Trump? Yuge!,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Ken Dilanian & Cory Siemaszko, 23 November 2016.

As the soon-to-be first family sat down in Florida for their Thanksgiving feast, they were watched over by the core part of their new extended family — a contingent of at least 150 Secret Service personnel.

And when Donald Trump gets sworn in as president on Jan. 20, that contingent will balloon to more than 920 Secret Service agents and support personnel in Washington and his hometown, New York.

The price tag for all that security is already very big, or as the Manhattan mogul might put it, “Yuge,” internal Homeland Security and Secret Service documents reviewed by NBC News show.

Trump National Security Team Includes Surprising Names,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Josh Meyer & Robert Windrem, 10 November 2016.

With many mainstream Republican defense experts having denounced his candidacy, President-elect Donald Trump is assembling a team of lesser known national security figures to staff his transition team, intelligence and military officials told NBC News.

‘All Hands on Deck’ to Protect Election From Hack, Say Officials,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Robert Windrem & Cynthia McFadden, 7 November 2016.

The U.S. government is gearing up for an unprecedented effort to protect Tuesday’s presidential election from cyber attack, U.S. officials told NBC News.

“There are a lot of eyes on this presidential election — more than there normally would be,” a senior Obama administration official said….

The concern is so high, intelligence officials told NBC, that for the first time, hundreds of military and intelligence cyber experts who work out of top secret facilities, including underground bunkers, will be monitoring intelligence about a U.S. presidential election.

Exclusive:  Inside Look at Classified U.S. Plans for Cyber Warfare on Election Day,” NBC News, 4 November 2016.

Sources and top secret documents say that U.S. military hackers have penetrated Russia’s electric grid, telecom network and Kremlin command systems, and are ready to hit back, if necessary.

Exclusive: U.S. Govt. Hackers Ready to Hit Back If Russia Tries to Disrupt Election,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Cynthia McFadden & Robert Windrem, 4 November 2016.

U.S. military hackers have penetrated Russia’s electric grid, telecommunications networks and the Kremlin’s command systems, making them vulnerable to attack by secret American cyber weapons should the U.S. deem it necessary, according to a senior intelligence official and top-secret documents reviewed by NBC News.

American officials have long said publicly that Russia, China and other nations have probed and left hidden malware on parts of U.S critical infrastructure, “preparing the battlefield,” in military parlance, for cyber attacks that could turn out the lights or turn off the internet across major cities.

It’s been widely assumed that the U.S. has done the same thing to its adversaries.

Exclusive: White House Readies to Fight Election Day Cyber Mayhem,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Josh Meyer, Cynthia McFadden & Robert Windrem, 3 November 2016.

The U.S. government believes hackers from Russia or elsewhere may try to undermine next week’s presidential election and is mounting an unprecedented effort to counter their cyber meddling, American officials told NBC News.

The effort is being coordinated by the White House and the Department of Homeland Security, but reaches across the government to include the CIA, the National Security Agency and other elements of the Defense Department, current and former officials say.

Exclusive:  Putin Wants to Push Microsoft Out of Russia in Battle with U.S.,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Tracy Conner, 1 November 2016.

In his battle with the United States, Vladimir Putin has a new target — Microsoft.

The Kremlin is backing a plan to rid government offices and state-controlled companies of all foreign software, starting with Moscow city government replacing Microsoft products with Russian ones, according to a senior U.S. intelligence official.

FBI Making Inquiry Into Ex-Trump Campaign Manager’s Foreign Ties,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian, Robert Windrem & Tom Winter, 31 October 2016.

The FBI has been conducting a preliminary inquiry into Donald Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort’s foreign business connections, law enforcement and intelligence sources told NBC News Monday.

Who Shut Down the Internet Friday?” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem, Ken Dilanian & Tom Winter, 21 October 2016.

Exclusive:  U.S. Confident It’s Blocked Russia’s Hacking Paths,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden & Robert Windrem, 19 October 2016.

U.S. officials are confident that defensive measures put in place will stop Russia from hacking more emails to influence the upcoming election — for now.

A high-level intelligence source said the U.S. and its allies have choked off cyber paths that the Russians have allegedly been using to steal emails from high-profile Democrats and other prominent Americans and make them public through WikiLeaks, DCleaks and Guccifer 2.0.

U.S. Urged Ecuador to Act Against WikiLeaks Leader Assange,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 19 October 2016.

Quiet pressure from the U.S. government played a role in Ecuador’s decision to block WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange from using the internet at Ecuador’s London embassy, U.S. officials told NBC News.

Exclusive:  CIA Prepping for Possible Cyber Strike Against Russia,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 14 October 2016.

The Obama administration is contemplating an unprecedented cyber covert action against Russia in retaliation for alleged Russian interference in the American presidential election, U.S. intelligence officials told NBC News.

Current and former officials with direct knowledge of the situation say the CIA has been asked to deliver options to the White House for a wide-ranging “clandestine” cyber operation designed to harass and “embarrass” the Kremlin leadership.

Trump Told Russia To Blame for Hacks Long Before 2016 Debate,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 10 October 2016.

During Sunday’s debate, Donald Trump once again said he doesn’t know whether Russia is trying to hack the U.S. election, despite Friday’s statement by the U.S. intelligence community pointing the finger at Putin –- and despite the fact that Trump was personally briefed on Russia’s role in the hacks by U.S. officials.

A senior U.S. intelligence official assured NBC News that cybersecurity and the Russian government’s attempts to interfere in the 2016 election have been briefed to, and discussed extensively with, both parties’ candidates, surrogates and leadership, since mid-August. “To profess not to know at this point is willful misrepresentation,” said the official. “The intelligence community has walked a very thin line in not taking sides, but both candidates have all the information they need to be crystal clear.”

Exclusive:  Hackers Target Election Systems in 20 States,” NBC News, co-authors Cynthia McFadden, Josh Meye & Ken Dilanian, 29 September 2016.

There have been hacking attempts on election systems in more than 20 states — far more than had been previously acknowledged — a senior Department of Homeland Security official told NBC News on Thursday.

The “attempted intrusions” targeted online systems like registration databases, and not the actual voting or tabulation machines that will be used on Election Day and are not tied to the Internet.

What Does Donald Trump Really Think About Using Nuclear Weapons?,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 28 September 2016.

Ahmad Rahami’s Capture: More Than 8,000 Cameras Helped Snare Bomb Suspect,” NBC News, co-author Anna Schecter, 19 September 2016.

The black-and-white image that caught Ahmad Khan Rahami near the site of a Manhattan explosion Saturday night and helped investigators identify him as a bombing suspect comes from one of more than 8,000 cameras added to New York streets since the September 11 terror attacks as part of the city’s “Ring of Steel.”

U.S. Bombers Send China, Russia, North Korea a Message,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 13 September 2016.

Call it gunboat diplomacy from 35,000 feet.

Three times in the last two months, the United States has flown B-1 bombers, equipped with the latest non-nuclear cruise missiles, on missions in Europe and Asia meant to show adversaries as well as allies what one U.S. commander called “an unshakable commitment.”

Secrets of 9/11: New Details of Chaos, Nukes Emerge,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 11 September 2016.

Exclusive:  What Really Happened at Donald Trump’s Intelligence Briefing,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Robert Windrem, 8 September 2016.

As U.S. officials cast doubt on Donald Trump’s claim he read the “body language” of intelligence officials at a recent briefing, NBC News has learned exclusive details of what unfolded in the room — and of reported tension between one of Trump’s advisers and the briefers.

White House Asks U.S. Spies to Study Russian Hacks,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem & Ken Dilanian, 30 August 2016.

The White House has ordered a special intelligence task force to examine the implications of Russia’s recent hacks of U.S. political organizations, U.S. intelligence officials tell NBC News.

Russians Hacked Two U.S. Voter Databases, Officials Say,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem & Ken Dilanian, 29 August 2016.

Hackers based in Russia were behind two recent attempts to breach state voter registration databases, fueling concerns the Russian government may be trying to interfere in the U.S. presidential election, U.S. intelligence officials tell NBC News.

More Than 1,000 U.S. Spies Protecting Rio Olympics,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 5 August 2016.

U.S. intelligence has assigned more than 1,000 spies to Olympic security as part of a highly classified effort to protect the Rio 2016 Summer Games and American athletes and staff, NBC News has learned.

Exclusive:  New Counterterrorism ‘Heat Map’ Shows ISIS Branches Spreading Worldwide,” NBC News, co-authors Robert Windrem & Cynthia McFadden, 2 August 2016.

As the U.S. launched more airstrikes Tuesday against ISIS targets in Libya — representing an expansion of the U.S. military operations beyond Iraq and Syria — NBC News has exclusively obtained a map showing the global expansion of the terror group.

The map is part of a classified briefing document received by the White House dated “August 2016” and prepared by the National Counterterrorism Center. It shows a stunning three-fold increase in the number of places around the globe where ISIS is operating.

ISIS Numbers Drop, But Fighters Now Attacking Around the World,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 13 July 2016.

Classified data exclusively obtained by NBC News shows that the number of foreigners fighting for ISIS in Syria and Iraq has dropped by half in the past year, but those fighters who have returned to their native countries –- or have never left home — are now launching attacks across the globe.

Dallas Gunman Micah Johnson Used a Saiga AK-74 Assault-Style Rifle: Sources,” NBC News, co-author Andrew Blankstein, 12 July 2016.

Dallas Shooter Micah Johnson Was Army Veteran and ‘Loner’,” NBC News, co-authors Tracy Connor & Jim Miklaszewski, 8 July 2016.

Experts: Robot Bomb Used Against Dallas Was ‘Reasonable’,” NBC News, co-authors Ken Dilanian & Eva Parks, 8 July 2016.

Chechen Akhmed Chatayev Is Called Suspected Planner of Istanbul Attack,” NBC News, co-authors Mansur Mirovalev & Corky Siemaszko, 1 July 2016.

Why ISIS Attacks Turkey,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 29 June 2016.

Senior U.S. intelligence officials tell NBC News that there are a half-dozen pressing reasons why ISIS would choose to send three suicide bombers to attack the Istanbul airport. They say that the terror group, which has recently lost territory from its caliphate in Syria and Iraq, is sending a signal to its northern neighbor …

America’s ‘war on terror’ gains a new ally: tiny Senegal,” VICE News, 18 June 2016.

U.S. Officials Fear Saudi Collapse If New Prince Fails,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 17 June 2016.

Cuba Wants Convicted Spy Released in U.S. Prisoner Swap,” NBC News, co-author Pete Williams, 3 June 2016.

Why Hasn’t the U.S. Killed Bin Laden’s Wingman Ayman al-Zawahiri?” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 17 May 2016.

How to Beat ISIS: Blow Up the Money,” NBC News, co-author Robert Windrem, 1 May 2016.

The U.S. has quietly turned to a new strategy in fighting ISIS — follow the money, then blow it up, U.S. officials tell NBC News.

At least four times in the past four months, U.S. military jets have targeted [major] ISIS financial centers, destroying them in strikes that have turned millions of U.S. dollars into confetti. The U.S. has also killed ISIS financial leaders — its “oil minister” in 2015 and its “finance minister” in March.

America’s Nuclear Weapons in Europe Are the Nuclear Elephant in the Room,” VICE News, 31 March 2016.

Doctors of Doom: What a PhD Really Means in the US National Security Community,” VICE News, co-author Alexa O’Brien, 27 January 2016.

2015

The Most Militarized Universities in America: A VICE News Investigation,” VICE News, 6 November 2015.

The Most Militarized Universities in America: Our Ranking Methodology Explained,” VICE News, 5 November 2015.

The Army Is Developing Killer Robots,” Phase Zero, 8 May 2015.

Cancel Your Summer Vacation Plans to Afghanistan,” Phase Zero, 7 May 2015.

We Don’t Know Jack About Joe – and for Good Reason,” Phase Zero, 6 May 2015.

Targeted Killing is Just Good Business,” Phase Zero, 5 May 2015.

Behold the Stupidest Government Report Ever,” Phase Zero, 4 May 2015.

Why Is Jordan so Eager to Suck up to the Pentagon?,” Phase Zero, 2 May 2015.

The Secret Mountain Our Spies Will Hide In When Washington Is Destroyed,” Phase Zero, 1 May 2015.

We’ll All Be Thugs Soon,” Phase Zero, 29 April 2015.

Americans All! (Please Ignore the Mexican Colonels),” Phase Zero, 28 April 2015.

Will The Death of Two Hostages Finally Force Us to Face Drone Killing?,” Phase Zero, 24 April 2015.

U.S. Inadvertently Kills Adam Gadahn, Saves $1,000,000,” Phase Zero, 23 April 2015.

The Blackwater Murders Aren’t Blackwater’s Fault. They’re Ours.,” Phase Zero, 21 April 2015.

Is Germany Really The Heart Of America’s Drone War?,” Phase Zero, 20 April 2015.

April 19 Has Become Everyone-Is-a-Threat Day,” Phase Zero, 17 April 2015.

“Memo: Saudi Arabia in Charge of Stopping Money Flow to ISIS!,” Phase Zero, 17 April 2015.

“ISIS, Mexico, How News Circulates and What’s Fucked Up About Gawker,” Phase Zero, 16 April 2015.

“Memo: How CENTCOM Gets It Done,” Phase Zero, 15 April 2015.

“Why is CENTCOM so stupid?,” Phase Zero, 14 April 2015.

“The Creepy New Security Credit Score for Spotting ‘Insider Threats’,” Phase Zero, 13 April 2015.

The CIA Director Can’t See the Ground from the Ivory Tower,” Phase Zero, 10 April 2015.

$24,000 to Role Play a Senior Official in a Secret Exercise?,” Phase Zero, 9 April 2015.

What is Invincible Shield 15?,” Phase Zero, 8 April 2015.

“Spying on the U.S. Submarine That Spies For the NSA and CIA,” Phase Zero, co-author Adam Weinstein, 7 April 2015.

“‘Bunker Busters’ Will See More Action in News Headlines Than In Iran,” Phase Zero, 6 April 2015.

“American Money Buys Chinese Subs for Pakistan, all for World War III!,” Phase Zero, 3 April 2015.

What is Covenant Guard?,” Phase Zero, 2 April 2015.

“¡Oigan NSA! Estamos aquí mismo hijos de puta!,” Phase Zero, 2 April 2015.

The U.S. Is Going to War Tomorrow at This Fancy Pacific Beach Resort,” Phase Zero, co-author Adam Weinstein, 1 April 2015.

The Forever War Is Always Already Here: Introducing Phase Zero,” Phase Zero, 1 April 2015.

2014

More Federal Agencies Are Using Undercover Operations,” New York Times, co-author Eric Lichtblau, 15 November 2014.

2008

“A Secret Afghanistan Mission Prepares for War with Iran,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 8 May 2008.

“Insurbordination and the F-22 Fighter: It’s Not So Simple,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 15 February 2008.

“Afghanistan Lost? Homeland Insecurity? What Role Does the Brass Play?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 1 February 2008.

“Arms for Sale,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 16 January 2008.

2007

“Divine Victory for Whom?  Airpower in the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War,” Strategic Studies Quarterly (USAF), Winter 2007.

“Russia Lends a Hand,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 27 December 2007.

“In Afghanistan, It’s About Air Power, Too,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 17 December 2007.

“In Defense of Air Power,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 11 December 2007.

“Yes, We Can Fight Wildfires and Terrorists at the Same Time,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 25 October 2007.

“Trimming the Government’s Talons — Or Not,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 July 2007.

“Special Operations Prepared for Domestic Missions,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 22 June 2007

“Asking About Gays in the Military,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 14 March 2007.

“It’s Time to See the Army like FEMA,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 12 March 2007.

“America Needs a Few Good Civilians,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 February 2007.

“The Troops Also Need to Support the American People,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 30 January 2007.

2006

“The Mandate on Rumsfeld,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 6 November 2006.

“A Draft Might Help Us,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 2 November 2006.

“America Spends To Keep the Military Away,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 26 October 2006.

“The Role of Military Men in Politics,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 16 October 2006.

“Michael Brown: Go Away,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 29 August 2006.

“The Price of Homeland Security,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 July 2006.

“Back to the Bunker,” Outlook section, The Washington Post, 4 June 2006, p. B1.

“Telephone Records are just the Tip of NSA’s Iceberg,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 12 May 2006.

“Still Preparing For the Wrong Disaster,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 11 May 2006.

“Blabbermouthing about Secrets,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 28 April 2006.

The Pentagon Preps for Iran,” The Washington Post (Outlook section), 16 April 2006.

“The F Bomb,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 April 2006.

“Dots: An Apparatus of Domestic Repression?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 24 March 2006.

“War Vs. More War for Congress,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 13 February 2006.

“No Big Deal, Pentagon Says,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 February 2006.

“Pentagon Collects Thousands of Names?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 23 January 2006.

“Pentagon Says We’re Sorry,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 January 2006.

2005

“The American Battlefield,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 15 December 2005.

“Pentagon Domestic Spying,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 14 December 2005.

“Military Identity Confusion,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 30 November 2005.

“Domestic Military Intelligence Is Back,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 29 November 2005.

“The War on Flu,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 9 November 2005.

“Bird Flu, Hurricanes, the Mexico Problem,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 8 November 2005.

“Myers, Uzbekistan, Nukes Bye Bye,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 3 October 2005.

“DOD: No New Rules Needed,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 22 September 2005.

“Today in DC: Commandos in the Streets?,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 21 September 2005.

“Rumsfeld to Katrina: “Thanks”,” Early Warning, washingtonpost.com, 20 September 2005.

2001

A Week of Air War,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 15 October 2001.

“Rumsfeld’s Difficult Mission,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 30 September 2001.

The Emerging Nuclear Posture,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 30 July 2001.

The Underground Military,” DOT.MIL Washingtonpost.com, 7 May 2001.

2000

“Making a Molehill out of a Mountain,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 30 January 2000.

“A Year in Review,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 17 January 2000.

“Reconnaissance Over the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 3 January 2000.

1999

“No New Year’s Leave on New Years’ Eve,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 20 December 1999.

“At DIA, Excess Is in the Details,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 6 December 1999.

“A Draft in America’s Future?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 22 November 1999.

“Chinese Embassy Continues to Smolder,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 8 November 1999.

The Cyber Bomb in Yugoslavia,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 25 October 1999.

“Ask Not for Whom the Phone Rings,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 11 October 1999.

“Bugged by the Net,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 27 September 1999.

“What’s Luck Got to Do With It?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 13 September 1999.

“War Entrepreneurs,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 30 August 1999.

“An Invisible Air War on the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 19 July 1999.

“A Military Drudge,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 5 July 1999.

“The Good News About Forgery,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 21 June 1999.

A Mouse That Roars?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 7 June 1999.

Ninja Warriors,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 5 June 2000.

“Changing the Channel in Belgrade,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 24 May 1999.

“Yugoslavia Unplugged,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 10 May 1999.

“NATO’s Info Strategy Bombs,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 26 April 1999.

“This War is Wired,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 12 April 1999.

“Sunrise, Sunset,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 29 March 1999.

“Turning Up the Heat in War,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 15 March 1999.

“A Secretary Goes a Courtin’,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 1 March 1999.

“Round Two: The Pentagon and the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 15 February 1999.

When Seeing and Hearing Isn’t Believing,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 1 February 1999.

Phreaking Hacktivists,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 18 January 1999.

1998

Bugged By Nukes, Nuked by Bugs?,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 21 December 1998.

“Losing the Information War With Iraq,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 7 December 1999.

“Flying Solo,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1998.

“War of the Web,” DOT.MIL, Washington Post online, 23 November 1998.

photo

“Do Loose Chips Sink Ships?  Internet Horror Stories Stress Out Pentagon,” Pacific News Service, 2 October 1998 (also in the Washington Times).

“Forces for the Millennium,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1998.

“Misplaced Priorities,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1998.

“Why Detargeting Accords Make No One Safer,” Pacific News Service, 29 June 1998, published in Baltimore Sun.

“Me and World War III,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1998.

“The Gulf War and Its Syndrome,” Washington Quarterly, Spring 1998.

“Dangerous Directions,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1998.

“Crossed t’s, dotted i’s,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1998.

1997

“Nuclear Misdirective,” The Nation, 29 December 1997.

“The Beat Goes On,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1997.

“What’s `New’?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1997 [new nuclear weapons developments].

“Russia’s Port-a-Nukes,” The Nation, 29 September 1997.

“Landmine Decision: The President Draws A Line — But Not on the Ground,” Pacific News Service, 22 September 1997.

“Still glowing,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1997 [depleted uranium use].

“U.S.-Israeli Tactical Laser Gets Boost,” Laser Report, 15 August 1997.

“Blame the Internet,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1997.

“Year After Attacks, U.S.-Israel Laser Remains `High Risk’,” (with John Donnelly), Defense Week, 5 May 1997.

“The Army on the Web,” Army, May 1997.

“Air Force Organizes for Offensive Info War,” (with Tony Capaccio), Defense Week, 31 March 1997.

“New Nuclear Bomb Enters the Ranks in Resounding Silence,” Pacific News Service, 24 March 1997, published in San Francisco Examiner, Casper Star-Tribune.

“The bomb has many friends,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1997.

“The Three No’s,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1997.

“Infrared Jammer Spurs Dilemma” (Commentary), Laser Report, 15 March 1997.

“Bring on the Radiation,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1997.

“Acoustic Anti-Personnel Weapons: An Inhumane Future?,” Medicine, Conflict, and Survival, Vol. 14, 1997.

1996

“USAF Reveals Laser Project Plans,” Laser Report, 15 December 1996.

“Don’t Blame Internet for TWA Rumor,” Minneapolis Star Tribune (via Pacific News Service), 21 November 1996.

“THEL Gets Defense-Budget Boost,” Laser Report, 1 November 1996.

“Calculated Ambiguity: Nuclear Weapons and the Gulf War,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 4 (1996).

“The Special Weapons Umbrella,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1996.

“Nuking Libya,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1996.

“Perry Affirms Blinding-Laser Weapons Ban,” Laser Report, 1 June 1996.

“Nuclear excuses,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1996.

“Blinding Laser Weapons Ban in Question,” Laser Report, 1 May 1996.

“The Clock Strikes Out,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1996.

“New, and Stupid,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1996.

1995

“Vienna meeting sets ban on blinding laser weapons,” Laser Focus World, December 1995.

“Iran and the Virtual Reality of US War Games,” Middle East Report, November-December 1995.

“Pentagon sees the light,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1995.

“Blinding Weapons to be Banned,” Laser Report, 15 October 1995.

“Tales from nuclear storyland,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1995.

“Setting Humane Limits for Laser Weaponry,” Photonics Spectra, August 1995.

“Ban Tactical Laser Weapons: DOD Maintains Blinding is Not Violation of War,” Defense News, 17-23 July 1995.

“Iran in the cross-hairs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1995.

“The Pentagon’s Blind Ambition,” The New York Times, 10 May 1995.

“A Fine Garble,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May/June 1995.

“NPT — Back to Ground Zero,” The Nation, 24 April 1995.

“A Tale of Two Franks,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1995.

“Inarticulating Nuclear Policy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1995.

1994

“Minibus, Son of Mininuke,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November/December 1994.

“Success Phobia,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September/October 1994.

“Bad Posture: The nuclear priesthood slouches onward,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1994.

“The Sky-Is-Still-Falling Profession,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March/April 1994.

1993

“Nuclear Junkies: Those Lovable Little Bombs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July/August 1993.

Letter to the Editor (Gulf War casualties), Foreign Policy, Summer 1993.

“The Desert Glows — With Propaganda,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1993.

“US Policy Fostered Iraq’s Role as Victim,” Newsday, 16 April 1993.

“Iraq Without George Bush,” The Christian Science Monitor, 7 April 1993.

1992

“The Teddy Bear’s Picnic,” The Nation, 2 November 1992.

“US Arms in Iraq,” The Washington Post, Letter to the Editor, 24 October 1992.

“Little Nuclear Secrets,” The New York Times, 9 September 1992.

“Unindicted Co-conspirators,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, July-August 1992.

“Tinynukes for Mini Minds,” (with Robert S. Norris), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1992.

1991

“Nuclear Weapons Headed for The Trash (with Damien Durrant and Hans Kristensen),” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1991.

“The Gulf `Hyperwar’ — An Interim Tally,” The New York Times, 22 June 1991.

“Why all the talk of high-tech arms?,” The Buffalo News, 22 February 1991.

“An Arms Race of another sort,” The Chicago Tribune, 22 February 1991.

“Nukleares Vabanquespiel,” Der Standard [Austria], 2 January 1991.

1990

“US Nukes in the Gulf,” The Nation, 31 December 1990.

“Huge Nuclear Force in Gulf,” San Francisco Chronicle, 12 December 1990.

“Nuclear Arsenal in Gulf is Scary – and it’s Ours,” The Buffalo News, 6 December 1990.

“US Hangs Nukes Over Iraq,” The Plain Dealer, 6 December 1990.

“Gulf Loaded with Nukes — on US Ships,” The Oregonian, 4 December 1990.

“Nuclear Safety: Morality and Democracy are Real Issues at Stake,” Seattle Post-Intelligencer, 5 November 1990.

“Beating Swords Into Swords,” (with Robert S. Norris), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1990.

“Sweden’s Non-Nuclear Policy Comes Home,” Dagens Nyheter (Sweden), 13 September 1990.

“The Bummers:  Twelve Nuclear Bombs that Could Ruin the `90s,” Greenpeace Magazine, May/June 1990.

“Soviets Disarm, Mysteriously,” (with Joshua Handler and Hans M. Kristensen), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1990.

“The Folly of Trident,” Greenpeace Magazine, March/April 1990.

“Alaskans Facing Bright Future without Military,” Anchorage Daily News, 27 January 1990.

1989

“Anchors Awry:  Our Arrogant Navy,” The Washington Post, 3 December 1989.

“Look Around, Then Discuss Weapons at Sea,” International Herald Tribune, 1 December 1989.

“Keep Our Secrets and Theirs, Too,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1989.

“Abrustungswelle beim Meeresgipfel,” Der Standard [Austria], 29 November 1989.

“…And Naval Arms Control,” The New York Times, 29 November 1989.

“Stealth Cruise Sneaks into Canada,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1989 (also in The Toronto Star, 9 May 1989).

“How ‘They’ See ‘Us’,” (with Julie Morrissey), Nuclear Times, March/April 1989.

“Gorbachev Talks but Who Listens?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1989.

“The Buildup That Wasn’t,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1989.

“Troubled Waters: The Navy’s Aggressive War Strategy,” Technology Review, January 1989.

1988

“Arms and the Man: Paul Nitze’s role in the race to reduce weapons,” Chicago Tribune, 6 November 1988.

“Enough Military Restraint to Warrant a Response,” International Herald Tribune, 2 November 1988.

“A legacy of John Lehman makes the world more dangerous,” The Virginian-Pilot and the Ledger-Star, 10 July 1988.

“Our Risky Naval Strategy Could Get Us All Killed,” The Washington Post, 3 July 1988.

“Limiting Nuclear Navies Will Be the Next Step,” (with Joshua Handler), International Herald Tribune, 1 July 1988.

“US Nuclear Warheads: Plenty Now, More to Come,” The Los Angeles Times, 17 May 1988.

“New INF Numbers Cast Doubt on Standard Press Tallies,” Deadline (NYU Center for War, Peace and the News Media), May/June 1988.

“Spying in the Black Sea,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1988.

“Behind the disclosure of US secret tests,” (with Robert S. Norris and Thomas B. Cochran), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1988.

“US Nuclear Weapons Production: An Overview,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January/February 1988.

1987

“Happy Birthday, Flexible Response,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1987.

“Navy Autonomy Thwarts Arms Control,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September 1987; also as “Fladens Frihed Hindrer Kontrol Med Farligt Kaplob,” Information (Denmark), 30 Sept 1987.

“Canada Even More Under US Thumb in Sub Plan,” (with Steve Shallhorn), Globe and Mail (Toronto), 7 July 1987.

“Subs Might in Fact Reduce Sovereignty,” (with Steve Shallhorn), The Montreal Gazette, 22 June 1987.

“Long on Data, Short on Intelligence,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June 1987.

“Pentagon Banking on Castro Phobia,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1987.

“Red Herring in the Pacific,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1987.

“Espana-OTAN, un Ano Despues: Razones para el Optimismo,” Tiempo de Paz [Spain], Spring 1987.

“Greece’s Balancing Act,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1987.

“Los Estados Unidas Quieren Alojar en Espana 32 Bombas Nucleares,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), Diario de Tervel [Spain], 14 March 1987.

“Espana en la Carrera de las Armas Nucleares,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 18 March 1987; also in El Faro de Ceuta [Spain], 20 March 1987; Papeles Para la Paz [Spain], No. 16-17, December 1986 – January 1987.

“La Conexion Nuclear en las Bases Espanolas,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 19 March 1987.

“Espana y las Operaciones de la OTAN,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), La Voz de Aviles [Spain], 20 March 1987.

“A Return to Disarmament,” (with Cornelia Durrant), Greenpeace Magazine, Vol. 12, No. 2, April-June 1987.

“General Nutting and the Invaders,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January-February 1987.

1986

“Frozen Pork: How Alaska’s Sen. Stevens Got His Army Division,” Washington Post (Outlook section), 28 December 1986.

“Nuclear War in Triplicate,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1986.

“No Use for No First Use,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1986.

“Test Ban Fever,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,  October 1986.

“Fewer Warheads in Europe,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, August/September 1986.

“The New Mix of Defense and Deterrence,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,” June/July 1986.

“At the Movies,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1986.

“Canada – Too Close For Comfort,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1986; also as “Canada Stands Shakily on Guard,” The Gazette (Montreal), 5 March 1986; and “Canada Can’t Tell Where it Stands Defensively,” The Houston Post, 30 May 1986.

“Of Drugs and Star Wars,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1986.

“A Global Role for NATO,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January 1986; and in Nontiki (Greece), 21 March 1986.

1985

“Confirm or Deny,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1985.

“Provocations at Sea,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1985.

“Playing Chicken in Turkey,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1985.

“Beltway Bandits,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, September 1985.

“History of the Nuclear Stockpile,” (with Robert S. Norris and Thomas B. Cochran), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, August 1985.

“Focus on the Nuclear Infrastructure,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June/July 1985.

“Forward Offensive Strategy in the Pacific,” (with David W. Chappell), World Policy, Summer 1985.

“Das Pulverfass,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 17 May 1985.

“Espana y Las Operaciones Nucleares de Estados Unidos,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Cambio 16 [Spain], 6‑13 May 1985.

“Preparing for World War IV,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1985.

“The Nuclear Infrastructure in the State of California,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), California Magazine, April 1985.

“The Role of the West in the Nuclear Web,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), Northern Light, April 1985.

“Nuclear backpacks,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1985.

“Canada: ally in the nuclear dark,” (with Richard W. Fieldhouse), The Globe and Mail (Canada), March 15, 1985.

“Waging Secrecy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, March 1985.

“Conventional buildup ‑‑ A deliberate delusion,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1985.

“Japan as a High Threat Area,” (with David Chappell), Sekkai [Japan], February 1985.

“Spy Satellites: `Secret,’ But Much is Known,” The Washington Post, 6 January 1985 (with Jeffrey T. Richelson).

“Countdown fur den krieg im all,” (with Peter Pringle), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 3 January 1985.

“The drift toward first strike,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, January 1985.

1984

“Sleight of hand with Trident II,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1984.

“Informe Sobre Eventuales Despliegues de Armas Nucleares en el Exterior,” Afers Internacionals [Spain], Winter 1984.

“Tomahawk: ominous new deployment,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1984; also in Sekkai [Japan].

“Resource Paper on the US Nuclear Arsenal,” (with Thomas B. Cochran and Milton M. Hoenig), Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, centerfold insert, August‑September 1984.

“The Soviet Nuclear Stockpile,” (with Jeffrey I. Sands), Arms Control Today, June 1984.

“Going with Small ICBMs,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, May 1984.

“SDI ‑‑ Pie in the sky?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1984.

“Arsenals move North,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,  March 1984.

“Flying in the Face of Arms Control,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, February 1984.

1983

“Eine Waffe fur alle Falle,” [Pershing II in West Germany], Stern Magazin [West Germany], December 21, 1983.

“Nuclear Balancing Act in the Pacific,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, December 1983; also in Sekkai [Japan].

“The Soviet Crisis and Flight 007,” Arms Control Today, November 1983.

“Nuclear Security: The Enemy May be Us,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, November 1983.

“Nuclear Weapons at Sea?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1983; also “Wird der Nuklearkrieg auf See beginnen?, Vorwarts [West Germany], October 13, 1983.

“A colpi di superspionaggio,” L’Espresso, [Italy], October 3, 1983 (Korean Air Lines Flight 007 cover story); also “Nordlige Stillehavs‑omrade er proppet med spiodstyr,” Information [Denmark].

“The Impact of Soviet Theater Nuclear Force Improvements,” (with David Chappell), ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1983.

“Pershing II and US Nuclear Strategy,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, June‑July 1983; also as “Eine Rakete fur viele Missionen,” in Vorwarts [West Germany], 7 July 1983.

“Soviet Cruise Missile Programs,” Arms Control Today, May 1983; also “Sovjets krydsmissiler er voksende trussel,” Information [Denmark].

“Pershing and Cruise: No Room for Compromise,” (with Richard Fieldhouse), ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 5, No. 2, March/April 1983; also excerpted in END Journal [United Kingdom] #4, June/July 1983.

“Why SIOP‑6?,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, April 1983; also “Von der Krise bis zum verlangerten Atomkrieg gilt der Schlussel C3I,” Vorwarts [West Germany], August 4, 1983.

“C3I: Command Post for Armageddon,” (with Peter Pringle), The Nation [Special Issue on the New Arms Technology], April 9, 1983.

“Das Spiel vom Weltuntergang ‑ Wie Washington sich auf den Atomkrieg vorbereitet,” (with Peter Pringle), Stern Magazin [West Germany], 30 March 1983; “Wie sich Amerika auf den Atomkrieg vorbereitet,” 7 April 1983 and 14 April 1983 (three part series).

1982

“More Weapons Nobody Wants,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, October 1982.

“European Nuclear Weapons Developments,” in ADIU Report [United Kingdom], Vol. 4, No. 2, March/April 1982; also reprinted as

“Growing Pool of Nukes,” in END Bulletin [United Kingdom], No. 9, May‑June 1982.

1981

“`Soviet Military Power,’ or a Case Not Made,” The Nation, October 24, 1981; also as “Een Sovjetoverwicht dat niet bewezen wordt,” De Groene Amsterdammer [The Netherlands], 28 October 1981.

“Full Speed Ahead and Damn the Allies,” In These Times, August 26‑September 1, 1981.

“Nuclear New Math,” The Nation, 8-15 August 1981.

“Nye avsloringer av amerikansk‑norsk flyprogram,” (with Ingolf Hakon Teigene), in Ny Tid [Norway], 27 May 1981.

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3 responses to “Archive of Writings

  1. Mr. William M. Arkin
    I’m a journalist.
    The Cold War period, interested in issues of military strategy.
    There is an important document attached to this email.
    If you help me, can achieve important results.
    Greetings.

    Deniz Turan

    MATHEMATİCS VULNERABİLİTY AND ONE İMPORTANT QUESTİON
    Pkill –M (To a certain resistance to the silo, kill radius)
    I do not want to make this calculation = Pkill1-1 + Pkill2-1
    I want to make this calculation = Pkill-M (meter)
    One would like to do the calculation for SS-9 missiles warhead = Pkill-M (meter)
    20 MT single warhead
    900-1000 meter CEP
    NIE-72; 308 total number SS-9 missiles = 1000 Minuteman silos= %60-70 Destruction (Minimum)
    Les Aspin projection : 308 total SS-9 missiles = %08 Destruction (2000 PSI Minuteman silos)*
    Minuteman silo = how many number PSI ???????????????
    How is it calculated?
    SOURCE: NIE-72 and Nıxon SIOP Planning- GWU-NSA, SIOP PDF-2
    SS-9 DESTRUCTION POWER: “Chance of disabling a Minuteman silo, …..Allowing the reliability factor of 75 percent for an estimated force (that portion of the force which is expected to reach the target area, detonate), it could be expected that some 70 percent of the SS-9 Mod 2s that the Soviets were able to target against Minuteman silos would disable their targets in the first case, and that less than 60 percent would do so in the second case. Centers for Minuteman launch control two SS-9 Mod-2 missiles would be required to achieve similar probabilities, and the probabilities fall off more sharply as the estimated accuracy declines. ”
    “The significance of These is Considerable differences, but the Soviets would in any event have to deploy several times the present number of SS-9 Mod Mod 1s and 2s, with their present capabilities, that would pose a serious threat before achieving a force to the Minuteman force as a whole “(NIE-72)
    As we have seen, an SS-9 attack, and %60-70 percent will destroy, of all Minuteman silos. Two SS-9, will eliminate all Minuteman control centers.An SS-9 attack to destroy the possibility of 100% of all Minuteman silos, according to an opinion, the ratio of 13-16%.
    In this case, the Soviet capability to achieve more in the early 1970s came to the brink of a first strike.
    NIE-72, SS-9 force to attack the Minuteman silos stated that the probability of critical importance.Soviet SS-‘9s pair of when combined with other classes of missile silos at an early date, all U.S. missile which they could dispose of the early 1970s.
    However,MIRV technology was not developed yet.Therefore, can not be cross-targeting. For this reason, together with a variety of classes participated in a combined missile attack was difficult to realize. Fired missiles at the same time it was difficult to advance the objectives and the range of the missiles would have a certain period of time.This situation, we add the lack of sea missiles, missile silos USA SS-‘s pair of 9s would be the main force attack (NIE-72, not sure if this issue and intends to use the power of the Soviet Union did not know how to say.Page; 32-37) Thus, in the event of an attack, SS -9, there could be a possibility, and fever to get rid of a part of U.S. missiles.
    From this information, one of the first attack on the Soviet Union’s ability, yet did not get exactly what you say. The Soviet Union since 1974 and the introduction of missiles with MIRV technology, has the ability to make cross-targeting. Cross the Soviet missiles capable of targeting, Moderate SAL forces. For example, a moderate attack power you get 60% destruction of two warheads provided, however, except for a moderate power missiles in service throughout the 1970s and the SS-9 missiles, power missiles used together with a moderate rate of destruction of a combined attack there could be a 90-100% destruction. After 1974, the Soviets have achieved a significant first strike capability. SS-9 missiles CEP values ranged from 900 to 1100 meters.
    *NOTE: See Representative Les Aspin, “Judge Not by Numbers Alone,” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (June 1980), p. 30.

    The Projection Table-1 : 308 total SS-9 missiles = %08 Destruction (2000 PSI Minuteman silos)
    SS-9 Single warhead Pkill1-1 = 0,28 (Origin RAND Coparation and Calculation mathematically derived from current intelligence information.)

  2. Hi. You wrote an article on warrantless wiretapping in 2007. Could you put it into this archive.

  3. Seems pretty relevant today.

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